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Cyclone Asna and the deep depression in western India were recently observed due to a rare phenomena and unusual conditions leading to their formation.

Cyclone Asna
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About Cyclone Asna and the Deep Depression:

Formation and Development:

  • The deep depression, which has been affecting Gujarat with heavy rainfall, would intensify into Cyclone Asna over the Arabian Sea.
  • It started as a deep depression over land and will transition into a cyclone over the sea, and such  cyclones usually form over the ocean rather than over land.
  • This cyclone is the first to form in August in the North Indian Ocean (NIO) region since 1981 and the first in the Arabian Sea since 1976.
  • Historically, there have been only 32 cyclones in the NIO in August and four in the Arabian Sea from 1891 to 2023.
  • The configuration of large-scale winds and presence of strong easterly winds over southern India have been crucial in the development of this system.
  • The interaction between these winds and convective storms has contributed to the intensification of the deep depression.

Impact:

  • Gujarat has seen 48% excess rainfall for the season, which represents a significant increase from 17% excess rainfall.
  • The state, particularly the dry regions of Saurashtra and Kutch, has experienced severe flooding due to the sudden and intense rainfall.

Meteorological Analysis:

  • Typically, cyclones form over warm ocean waters where there is ample moisture and vorticity. However, this deep depression began over land, which is atypical.
  • The unusual behavior of the monsoon winds and a strong monsoonal event known as the Boreal Summer Intra-seasonal Oscillation (BSISO) have played a crucial role in this phenomenon.
  • The BSISO involves heat transfer from the Indian Ocean to the Western Pacific, impacting weather patterns.

Low Pressure System & BSISO:

  • The relationships between Low Pressure Systems (LPS) and the BSISO involve interactions between large-scale atmospheric patterns and localized weather phenomena.

Low Pressure Systems (LPS):

  • An LPS is a region where the atmospheric pressure is lower than that of the surrounding areas, which results in converging winds and often developing clouds and precipitation.
  • LPSs are crucial for various weather phenomena, including cyclones, monsoon depressions, and heavy rainfall events.
  • They form due to factors like temperature gradients, humidity, and atmospheric instability.
  • In the context of monsoon systems, LPSs can be influenced by the convergence of moist air masses and can intensify into more organized systems like tropical cyclones.

Boreal Summer Intra-seasonal Oscillation (BSISO):

  • The BSISO is a periodic pattern of atmospheric circulation that occurs in the tropics during the boreal summer.
  • It involves the transfer of heat and moisture between the Indian Ocean and the Western Pacific Ocean and affects weather patterns on a timescale of 30-60 days.
  • This influences the distribution of rainfall and large-scale wind patterns.
  • It can lead to variations in the strength and position of the monsoon trough, which is a region of low pressure associated with the monsoon.

Interaction between LPS and BSISO:

  • Active BSISO phases enhance convection and moisture convergence between the Indian Ocean and the Western Pacific, making the atmosphere more favorable for LPS formation.
  • The BSISO can shift or strengthen the monsoon trough, which is crucial for LPS formation, creating conditions that support the development of these systems.
  • Increased atmospheric instability and moisture lead to intensified convection, causing LPSs to develop more rapidly.
  • Its influence can lead to cyclogenesis, where an LPS evolves into a stronger cyclonic system due to the added moisture and heat.

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Frequently Asked Question:

What is Cyclone Asna?

Cyclone Asna is a tropical cyclone expected to form from a deep depression that has been affecting Gujarat with heavy rainfall. It will transition from a deep depression over land to a cyclone over the Arabian Sea.

What is a deep depression, and how does it differ from a cyclone?

A deep depression is a weather system with a significantly low-pressure center that can cause heavy rainfall and strong winds. It becomes a cyclone when it intensifies further, gaining more organized cyclonic characteristics and stronger winds.

What is the Boreal Summer Intra-seasonal Oscillation (BSISO)?

The BSISO is a periodic pattern of atmospheric circulation in the tropics during the boreal summer.