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Declining Solar Radiation Trends in India

Declining Solar Radiation Trends in India IAS Toppers

India Meteorological Department (IMD) reveal a concerning trend of decreasing solar radiation in various locations across India, impacting the potential of solar energy generation.

Solar Radiation
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What is solar photovoltaic (SPV) potential?

  • SPV potential refers to the maximum amount of solar radiation that can be converted into electricity using photovoltaic (PV) technology in a particular area.
  • It is measured as kilowatt-hours per installed kilowatt of capacity (kWh/kWp).
  • It depends on factors like sunlight availability, weather, and geographical location.
  • Assessing this potential helps determine the feasibility of installing solar panels for electricity generation.

Decreasing Solar Radiation Trends

Study Findings:

  • Analysis by IMD scientists shows a decreasing trend in solar radiation suitable for conversion to electricity by solar panels.
  • Analysis conducted at 45 IMD stations revealed declining trends in SPV potential.

Locations Affected:

  • SPV potential showed a general decline in all stations which included Ahmedabad, Chennai, Goa, Jodhpur, Kolkata, Mumbai, Nagpur, New Delhi, Pune, Shillong, Thiruvananthapuram, and Vishakhapatnam.
  • India’s largest solar parks, mainly in Gujarat and Rajasthan, are also experiencing a decrease in solar photovoltaic (SPV) potential.

Factors Contributing to Decline

  • Increased Aerosol Load: Emissions from carbon, fossil fuel burning, and dust contribute to higher aerosol presence.
  • Impact of Aerosols and Clouds: Aerosols absorb the sunlight and deflect it away from the ground and they can also aid the formation of dense clouds, that again block sunlight.

Implications for Solar Energy:

  • The efficiency of solar panels are significantly influenced by the amount of sunlight incident on them.

India’s Solar Power Capacity:

  • As of now, India’s installed solar capacity stands at approximately 81 GW, about 17% of the total electricity capacity.
  • The country’s solar energy potential, estimated by the National Institute of Solar Energy, is 748 GW.
  • India ranks 5th globally in Solar Power Capacity.
  • India plans to obtain around 500 GW, almost half of its electricity needs, from non-fossil fuel sources by 2030.
    • This includes achieving at least 280 GW from solar power by that year, requiring an annual addition of at least 40 GW of solar capacity until 2030.

Government Initiatives:

  • Rooftop Solar Initiative: A major initiative to fund rooftop solar installations in at least one crore houses across the country, announced earlier this year.
  • National Solar Mission (NSM): Launched in 2010, this initiative promotes solar energy use for grid-connected and off-grid applications through financial incentives, subsidies, and policy support.
  • Solar Park Scheme: It aims to create 50 solar parks, each with a capacity of 500 MW or more, totaling approximately 38 GW by 2025-26.
    • These parks serve as key hubs for solar energy generation, attracting investments and facilitating solar power development.
  • The Production Linked Incentive (PLI) Scheme for High-Efficiency Solar Photovoltaic Modules: It aims to incentivize the production of such modules as part of the national program.
  • PM Surya Ghar Muft Bijli Yojana: Offers subsidies for rooftop solar panel installations.

Other key facts:

Global solar radiation:

  • Global solar radiation is the total amount of solar radiation that reaches the Earth’s surface, made up of direct and diffuse radiation.
  • It is important for the climate system because it affects air temperature, evaporation, biological growth, and how much solar energy is available.
  • Global solar radiation exhibited a decreasing trend from 1981 to 2006, with greater dimming observed from 1971 to 2000 compared to 1981 to 2006.
    • However, a reversal in trends occurred after 2001, with unclear causes for this shift.

Ref:Source

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